Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin played?

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom

Radomiak Radom

Motor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Radomiak Radom (1,899) and Motor Lublin (1,933).

Radomiak Radom win50 %

Draw24 %

Motor Lublin win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Radomiak Radom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	AEL(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(home)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radomiak Radom win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2026	Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 29, 2025	Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
May 24, 2025	Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Dec 2, 2024	Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak Radom	Ekstraklasa
Jul 12, 2024	Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 2, 2024	Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor Lublin	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Radomiak Radom	1.2	2.0	3	11/15	11/15
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?: The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin played?: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.