Match

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom

Radomiak RadomMotor Lublin

The Footlab AI model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Radomiak Radom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Radomiak Radom (1,867) and Motor Lublin (1,885).

46%25%29%
Radomiak Radom winDrawMotor Lublin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Radomiak Radom

4-1-4-1
  1. 80Guilherme Luiz
  1. 90Ronaldo Afonso
  2. 82Luquinhas
  3. 77C. Donis
  4. 28Romário Baró
  5. 7C. Nunnely
  1. 13J. Grzesik
  2. 24Z. Ouattara
  3. 3K. Szcześniak
  4. 72F. Koperski
  1. 1F. Majchrowicz

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
  1. 10K. Czubak
  1. 30M. Ndiaye
  2. 7Ivo Rodrigues
  3. 27Y. Bourhane
  4. 8C. Simon
  5. 70M. Aïko
  1. 18B. Bereszyński
  2. 24F. Luberecki
  3. 17K. Lukoszek
  4. 39M. Bartoš
  1. 33G. Tratnik

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Motor Lublin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)7-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Lech Poznan(away)1-5Ekstraklasa
Sep 14, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Sep 5, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Sep 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)1-0Cup
Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Sep 11, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Sep 5, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)2-3Ekstraklasa
Sep 1, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)3-0Cup
Aug 29, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)0-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radomiak Radom win, 3 draws, 2 Motor Lublin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Sep 29, 2025Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
May 24, 2025Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Dec 2, 2024Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Jul 12, 2024Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs
Feb 2, 2024Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Radomiak Radom score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Radomiak Radom1.31.9310/1510/15
Motor Lublin1.51.558/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Radomiak Radom sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 9 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 16th (6 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Radomiak Radom92257208
16Motor Lublin91359156

A question about Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
The Footlab AI model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin played?
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin is played on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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