Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus played?

JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus?

Nagoya Grampus starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,815).

JEF United Chiba win31 %

Draw24 %

Nagoya Grampus win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 JEF United Chiba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 26, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 4-2 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Nov 11, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 0-3 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Mar 11, 2017	JEF United Chiba 2-0 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba on Nov 26, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus played?: JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.