Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse played?

JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Shimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate JEF United Chiba (1,815) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,901).

JEF United Chiba win34 %

Draw27 %

Shimizu S-pulse win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 JEF United Chiba win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 6, 2024	Shimizu S-pulse 2-0 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Mar 20, 2024	JEF United Chiba 1-3 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League
Jul 16, 2023	Shimizu S-pulse 2-2 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
May 17, 2023	JEF United Chiba 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League
Jul 24, 2016	JEF United Chiba 3-4 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League
Jun 19, 2016	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse?: The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse played?: JEF United Chiba vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.