Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,166 vs 2,043).

35%27%38%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 41Y. Komi
  4. 36J. Irvine
  5. 66A. Ohata
  6. 16H. Okuda
  1. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  2. 4R. Inoue
  3. 97T. Takahashi
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)3-2J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-0J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerezo Osaka win, 1 draw, 4 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 23, 2025Kashima 3-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Apr 12, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-0 KashimaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2024Cerezo Osaka 0-2 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 2, 2024Kashima 1-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Sep 16, 2023Kashima 1-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
May 7, 2023Cerezo Osaka 0-1 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka on Sep 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.31.558/157/15
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 12th in J1 League (14 points from 12 matches) and Kashima sit 8th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kashima12624252120
12Cerezo Osaka12354121914

A question about Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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