Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Vissel Kobe (2,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 3-2 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| May 3, 2024 | Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Nagoya Grampus.
- Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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