Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy?
Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy 1-3 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J-League Cup |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Kashiwa Reysol | J-League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo Verdy is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsGamba Osaka
- Mar 20, 2027V-varen NagasakivsFagiano Okayama
- Mar 20, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsVissel Kobe
- Mar 20, 2027Cerezo OsakavsKyoto Sanga
- Mar 20, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsFC Tokyo
- Mar 20, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsUrawa
- Mar 20, 2027Machida ZelviavsMito Hollyhock
- Mar 20, 2027Avispa FukuokavsJEF United Chiba