Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,961) and FC Tokyo (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Tokyo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | FC Tokyo 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | FC Tokyo 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?
- The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsTokyo Verdy
- Mar 20, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsGamba Osaka
- Mar 20, 2027V-varen NagasakivsFagiano Okayama
- Mar 20, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsVissel Kobe
- Mar 20, 2027Cerezo OsakavsKyoto Sanga
- Mar 20, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsUrawa
- Mar 20, 2027Machida ZelviavsMito Hollyhock
- Mar 20, 2027Avispa FukuokavsJEF United Chiba