Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?
Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka 3-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| May 21, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-4 Cerezo Osaka | J-League Cup |
| May 3, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Cerezo Osaka | J1 League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cerezo Osaka 3-5 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?
- The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga played?
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 20, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsFC Tokyo
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