Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,907).

Cerezo Osaka win54 %
Draw24 %
Kyoto Sanga win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026FC Gifu(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Jul 29, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Cerezo Osaka 3-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Sep 28, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
May 21, 2025Kyoto Sanga 1-4 Cerezo OsakaJ-League Cup
May 3, 2025Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Aug 17, 2024Cerezo Osaka 3-5 Kyoto SangaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.91.1410/159/15
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Cerezo Osaka3201346
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?
The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cerezo Osaka and Kyoto Sanga

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