Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa FukuokaJEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba?

Avispa Fukuoka starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,815).

Avispa Fukuoka win53 %
Draw25 %
JEF United Chiba win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Verspah Oita(home)0-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kashima(away)2-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)3-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Osaka(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Azul Claro Numazu(home)1-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-4J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026JEF United Chiba 1-2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
May 30, 2026Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 JEF United ChibaJ1 League
Oct 25, 2020Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 JEF United ChibaJ2 League
Sep 2, 2020JEF United Chiba 2-2 Avispa FukuokaJ2 League
Jul 20, 2019JEF United Chiba 3-0 Avispa FukuokaJ2 League
Mar 30, 2019Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 JEF United ChibaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka1.41.3210/158/15
JEF United Chiba0.82.026/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Avispa Fukuoka3102543
20JEF United Chiba3003090

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba?
The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba played?
Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Avispa Fukuoka and JEF United Chiba

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