Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Urawa (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yamanashi Gakuin(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Urawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Urawa 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Urawa | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Urawa 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| May 6, 2024 | Urawa 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Urawa | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Urawa.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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