Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka played?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,090) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win51 %

Draw24 %

Gamba Osaka win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 16, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
May 11, 2025	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Dec 8, 2024	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Sep 11, 2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Gamba Osaka	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.3	1.1	5	9/15	10/15
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka played?: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.