Match

Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 1,876).

73%18%9%
Machida Zelvia winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  2. 16H. Mae
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 6H. Mochizuki
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 8C. Kato
  2. 30J. Okumura
  1. 22K. Taniguchi
  2. 38Leonardo Hugo
  3. 39H. Yamamoto
  4. 20Y. Funabashi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 25T. Mase
  3. 15Y. Kimoto
  4. 3K. Osaki
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Mito Hollyhock have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Urawa(home)0-1J1 League
Oct 14, 2026FC Tokyo(home)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Machida Zelvia win, 4 draws, 1 Mito Hollyhock win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 29, 2026Mito Hollyhock 2-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 14, 2026Machida Zelvia 2-2 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Jun 24, 2023Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Machida ZelviaJ2 League
Mar 12, 2023Machida Zelvia 3-0 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Jul 6, 2022Machida Zelvia 2-3 Mito HollyhockJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia1.90.787/158/15
Mito Hollyhock1.31.536/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 1st in J1 League (27 points from 12 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Machida Zelvia12831301027
17Mito Hollyhock1223712229

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Machida Zelvia vs Mito Hollyhock is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Machida Zelvia and Mito Hollyhock

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