Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Nashville SC (1,910) and FC Cincinnati (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nashville SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Cincinnati 2-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Nashville SC 1-2 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Nashville SC 2-2 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| May 29, 2024 | FC Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 5, 2023 | FC Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville SC | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 15, 2023 | FC Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nashville SC score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (49 points from 21 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 6th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 17 | 49 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 47 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
- The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for FC Cincinnati.
- Where and when is Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati played?
- Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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