Cambuur vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab AI model makes Cambuur the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cambuur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Willem II?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Cambuur (1,792) and Willem II (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cambuur vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Willem II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cambuur wins, 3 draws, 0 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Willem II 0-1 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cambuur 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Willem II 1-1 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Cambuur 1-0 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| May 11, 2022 | Cambuur 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Willem II 1-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 12th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 2 |
A question about Cambuur vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cambuur the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Willem II played?
- Cambuur vs Willem II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.