Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Telstar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,052 vs 1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Telstar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 NEC Nijmegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| May 2, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Telstar 2-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Telstar 5-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 7, 2020 | Telstar 1-7 NEC Nijmegen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 13th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Telstar.
- Where and when is Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.