Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Telstar. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
3-4-2-1- 9Jelani Seedorf
- 10T. Owusu
- 7Rui Mendes
- 27P. Brouwer
- 17N. Rossen
- 3Gerald Alders
- 2J. Hardeveld
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 1R. Koeman
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 34Kevin Kers
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Telstar wins, 3 draws, 1 NEC Nijmegen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| May 2, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Telstar 2-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Telstar 5-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 7, 2020 | Telstar 1-7 NEC Nijmegen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 15th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Telstar.
- Where and when is Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.