Match

Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam

Netherlands U17Norway U17

The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Norway U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17?

Netherlands U17 starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,439).

Netherlands U17 win59 %
Draw20 %
Norway U17 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Norway U17 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Netherlands U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Belarus U17(home)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Kosovo U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 11, 2026Switzerland U17(away)3-3Friendlies
Nov 17, 2025Croatia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Kazakhstan U17(home)4-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Norway U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Greece U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Montenegro U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Sweden U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026Northern Ireland U17(away)1-1Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026Scotland U17(away)2-0Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Netherlands U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Norway U17 score 1.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Netherlands U172.11.5410/1510/15
Norway U171.52.429/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Netherlands U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Norway U17 sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Netherlands U172200316
2Norway U173111564

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17?
The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Norway U17.
Where and when is Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17 played?
Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Amsterdam ArenA, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Netherlands U17 and Norway U17

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