Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam
The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Norway U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17?
Netherlands U17 starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Norway U17 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Belarus U17(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kosovo U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Switzerland U17(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Croatia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Kazakhstan U17(home) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Greece U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Montenegro U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Sweden U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Scotland U17(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Norway U17 score 1.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands U17 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Norway U17 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Netherlands U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Norway U17 sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17?
- The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Norway U17.
- Where and when is Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17 played?
- Netherlands U17 vs Norway U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Amsterdam ArenA, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17