Match

Norway U17 vs Malta U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Norway U17Malta U17

The Footlab model makes Norway U17 the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Malta U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Norway U17 vs Malta U17?

Norway U17 starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,439 vs 1,305).

Norway U17 win65 %
Draw19 %
Malta U17 win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norway U17 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Malta U17 have 0, 3 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Norway U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Greece U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Montenegro U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Sweden U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026Northern Ireland U17(away)1-1Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026Scotland U17(away)2-0Friendlies
Malta U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Azerbaijan U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Bulgaria U17(away)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026Lithuania U17(home)1-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 19, 2026Luxembourg U17(away)0-3Friendlies
Feb 17, 2026Luxembourg U17(away)0-2Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Norway U17 score 1.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malta U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Norway U171.52.429/1510/15
Malta U170.62.907/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Norway U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Malta U17 sit 4th (1 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Norway U173111564
4Malta U1730122111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Norway U17 vs Malta U17?
The Footlab model makes Norway U17 the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Malta U17.
Where and when is Norway U17 vs Malta U17 played?
Norway U17 vs Malta U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Norway U17 and Malta U17

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