Where and when is Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town played?

Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Staffordshire

Newcastle Town

Bourne Town

The Footlab model makes Newcastle Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bourne Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Newcastle Town (1,665) and Bourne Town (1,593).

Newcastle Town win52 %

Draw24 %

Bourne Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bourne Town have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newcastle Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Runcorn Linnets(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026	Lower Breck(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026	Kidsgrove Athletic(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 4, 2026	Atherton Collieries(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern West

Bourne Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Belper Town(away)	3-4	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026	Boldmere St. Michaels(home)	2-3	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026	Carlton Town(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026	Corby Town(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026	Bedworth United(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

How many goals should we expect?

Newcastle Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bourne Town score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle Town	1.4	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Bourne Town	1.7	2.0	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town?: The Footlab model makes Newcastle Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bourne Town.
Where and when is Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town played?: Newcastle Town vs Bourne Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.