Where and when is Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town played?

Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport City

Aberystwyth Town

The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Aberystwyth Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Newport City (1,558) and Aberystwyth Town (1,579).

Newport City win38 %

Draw24 %

Aberystwyth Town win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

Aberystwyth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	5-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026	Cwmbran Celtic(away)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Newport City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aberystwyth Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Newport City 0-1 Aberystwyth Town	FAW Championship
Oct 25, 2025	Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Newport City	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15
Aberystwyth Town	1.5	1.6	4	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aberystwyth Town	3	2	0	1	11	5	6
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town?: The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Aberystwyth Town.
Where and when is Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town played?: Newport City vs Aberystwyth Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.