Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians played?

Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed

Carmarthen Town

Cardiff Draconians

The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Carmarthen Town (1,616) and Cardiff Draconians (1,549).

Carmarthen Town win55 %

Draw21 %

Cardiff Draconians win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carmarthen Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	3-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Newport City(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	4-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Treowen Stars(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

Cardiff Draconians
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	llanelli AFC(home)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Carmarthen Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cardiff Draconians win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Cardiff Draconians 2-3 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2025	Carmarthen Town 2-1 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carmarthen Town	2.5	2.0	3	10/15	10/15
Cardiff Draconians	1.7	2.0	1	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carmarthen Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Carmarthen Town	4	3	0	1	11	9	9
10	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians?: The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Cardiff Draconians.
Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians played?: Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff Draconians is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.