Where and when is Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?

Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport City

Trethomas Bluebirds

The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Newport City (1,536) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,490).

Newport City win51 %

Draw22 %

Trethomas Bluebirds win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Newport City win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 9, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Newport City	FAW Championship
Oct 10, 2025	Newport City 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Jan 3, 2025	Newport City 1-2 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Nov 1, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Newport City	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds?: The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?: Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.