Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido played?

Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd

Pontypridd Town

Afan Lido

The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,496).

Pontypridd Town win61 %

Draw20 %

Afan Lido win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontypridd Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	3-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Treowen Stars(away)	3-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	0-0	FAW Championship

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pontypridd Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Afan Lido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 30, 2026	Pontypridd Town 2-0 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Nov 15, 2025	Afan Lido 2-2 Pontypridd Town	FAW Championship
Mar 11, 2025	Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town	FAW Championship
Jul 26, 2024	Pontypridd Town 3-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Sep 20, 2022	Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town	League Cup
Dec 3, 2021	Pontypridd Town 8-1 Afan Lido	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pontypridd Town	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	11/15
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Pontypridd Town	4	4	0	0	12	6	12
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?: The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido played?: Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.