Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sketty Lane, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town?
Swansea University starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,447).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pontardawe Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Swansea University win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontardawe Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | Swansea University 2-3 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Pontardawe Town 2-3 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town on Jan 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea University sit 1st in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Pontardawe Town sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town played?
- Swansea University vs Pontardawe Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sketty Lane, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Newport CityvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 11, 2026Pontypridd TownvsAfan Lido
- Sep 11, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsllanelli AFC
- Sep 12, 2026Treowen StarsvsLlantwit Major
- Sep 12, 2026Carmarthen TownvsYnyshir Albions
- Sep 12, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsBaglan Dragons
- Sep 12, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsAberystwyth Town