Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed
The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Carmarthen Town starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,594 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Carmarthen Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Carmarthen Town 0-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions 0-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 2-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Ynyshir Albions 1-5 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carmarthen Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Newport CityvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 11, 2026Pontypridd TownvsAfan Lido
- Sep 11, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsllanelli AFC
- Sep 12, 2026Treowen StarsvsLlantwit Major
- Sep 12, 2026Swansea UniversityvsPontardawe Town
- Sep 12, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsBaglan Dragons
- Sep 12, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsAberystwyth Town