Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza played?

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

Nieciecza

The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Nieciecza (1,871).

Arka Gdynia win49 %

Draw24 %

Nieciecza win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	4-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-0	I Liga

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arka Gdynia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nieciecza win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 18, 2026	Arka Gdynia 2-3 Nieciecza	Ekstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025	Nieciecza 2-0 Arka Gdynia	Ekstraklasa
May 4, 2025	Arka Gdynia 2-1 Nieciecza	I Liga
Oct 26, 2024	Nieciecza 2-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Dec 11, 2023	Nieciecza 2-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Jul 21, 2023	Arka Gdynia 2-2 Nieciecza	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza on May 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia	1.2	1.5	6	4/15	7/15
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?: The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Nieciecza.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza played?: Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.