Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nieciecza win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Puszcza Niepołomice 2-1 Nieciecza | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Nieciecza 2-3 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Nieciecza 2-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-0 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Nieciecza 4-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice on Jul 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Miedz LegnicavsStal Mielec
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia GdanskvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 17, 2026Warta PoznańvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPodbeskidzie
- Oct 17, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsStal Rzeszów
- Oct 17, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsOdra Opole
- Oct 17, 2026Polonia BytomvsChrobry Głogów
- Oct 17, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPolonia Warszawa