Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Stal Rzeszów

The Footlab model makes Pogoń Siedlce the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Pogoń Siedlce (1,759) and Stal Rzeszów (1,723).

Pogoń Siedlce win47 %

Draw26 %

Stal Rzeszów win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stal Rzeszów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Nov 2, 2025	Stal Rzeszów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Mar 30, 2025	Stal Rzeszów 2-4 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Sep 1, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
May 1, 2022	Pogoń Siedlce 1-4 Stal Rzeszów	II Liga - East
Oct 23, 2021	Stal Rzeszów 3-0 Pogoń Siedlce	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
18	Stal Rzeszów	5	0	2	3	3	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń Siedlce the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.