Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice played?

Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta Poznań

Unia Skierniewice

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).

Warta Poznań win41 %

Draw25 %

Unia Skierniewice win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

Unia Skierniewice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	2-2	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2025	Warta Poznań 0-2 Unia Skierniewice	II Liga - East
Jul 27, 2025	Unia Skierniewice 2-1 Warta Poznań	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Unia Skierniewice	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
12	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	5	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Unia Skierniewice.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice played?: Warta Poznań vs Unia Skierniewice is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.