Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów played?

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia Bytom

Chrobry Głogów

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,840) and Chrobry Głogów (1,853).

Polonia Bytom win37 %

Draw25 %

Chrobry Głogów win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

Chrobry Głogów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 3, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	0-1	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	5-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 7, 2025	Polonia Bytom 2-0 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Jul 26, 2025	Chrobry Głogów 0-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów on Dec 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Chrobry Głogów	1.5	1.6	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Chrobry Głogów	5	2	1	2	8	5	7
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?: The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów played?: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.