Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,860) and Odra Opole (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Odra Opole | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Odra Opole 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 1-0 Odra Opole | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 6-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Odra Opole 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Miedz LegnicavsStal Mielec
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia GdanskvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 17, 2026NiecieczavsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 17, 2026Warta PoznańvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPodbeskidzie
- Oct 17, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsStal Rzeszów
- Oct 17, 2026Polonia BytomvsChrobry Głogów
- Oct 17, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPolonia Warszawa