Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil
The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,450) and Pirin Razlog (1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 1-2 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kyustendil 1-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| May 17, 2025 | Kyustendil 6-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Pirin Razlog 2-3 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| May 1, 2024 | Kyustendil 0-2 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 1-4 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyustendil | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kyustendil | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026OborishtevsBelasitsa
- Sep 12, 2026Strumska SlavavsBansko
- Sep 12, 2026Botev IhtimanvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKostinbrod
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsCSKA Sofia III
- Sep 12, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole