Match

Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

KyustendilPirin Razlog

The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,450) and Pirin Razlog (1,366).

Kyustendil win63 %
Draw22 %
Pirin Razlog win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kostinbrod(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Pirin Razlog 1-2 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Sep 6, 2025Kyustendil 1-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
May 17, 2025Kyustendil 6-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Nov 2, 2024Pirin Razlog 2-3 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
May 1, 2024Kyustendil 0-2 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Oct 14, 2023Pirin Razlog 1-4 KyustendilThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyustendil0.71.648/157/15
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Kyustendil4112464
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog?
The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog played?
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kyustendil and Pirin Razlog

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