Match

Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia

Slavia Sofia IIChavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,481).

Slavia Sofia II win57 %
Draw23 %
Chavdar Etropole win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slavia Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kostinbrod(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Chavdar Etropole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Septemvri Simitli(home)4-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Oborishte(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Bansko(away)0-3Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024CSKA Sofia II(away)0-3Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Slavia Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 25, 2023Slavia Sofia II 0-7 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Feb 22, 2023Slavia Sofia II 3-4 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Aug 6, 2022Chavdar Etropole 3-1 Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole on Nov 25, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slavia Sofia II1.61.155/156/15
Chavdar Etropole2.21.167/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Chavdar Etropole4112684
16Slavia Sofia II4103243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole played?
Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slavia Sofia II and Chavdar Etropole

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