Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?
Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Slavia Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Slavia Sofia II 0-7 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Slavia Sofia II 3-4 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Chavdar Etropole 3-1 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole on Nov 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Chavdar Etropole | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chavdar Etropole | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole played?
- Slavia Sofia II vs Chavdar Etropole is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026OborishtevsBelasitsa
- Sep 12, 2026Strumska SlavavsBansko
- Sep 12, 2026Botev IhtimanvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 12, 2026KyustendilvsPirin Razlog
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKostinbrod
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsCSKA Sofia III