Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil
The Footlab AI model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Strumska Slava wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,510 vs 1,397).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kyustendil
4-3-3- AAleksandar Krasimirov Aleksandrov
- SS. Blagoev
- PPlamen Plamenov Petrov
- DD. Mladenov
- TT. Stoichkov
- DD. Gogov
- DD. Iliev
- AA. Ademov
- GG. Kupenov
- BB. Stoynev
- II. Topalov
Strumska Slava
4-3-3- AA. Asparuhov
- EE. Okudina
- DD. Vladimirov
- NN. Bandev
- LL. Stoychev
- VV. Dotsev
- DD. Mitsakov
- PP. Kepov
- MM. Kostov
- BB. Nikolov
- MM. Stanchev
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-5 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kyustendil win, 0 draws, 1 Strumska Slava win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Strumska Slava 3-1 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Kyustendil 3-0 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Kyustendil on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyustendil score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyustendil | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyustendil sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (9 points from 10 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kyustendil.
- Where and when is Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava played?
- Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Balkan Botevgrad1-0CSKA Sofia III
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Simitli1-1Belasitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Slivnishki geroy2-0Natsional Sofia
- Oct 10, 2026Kostinbrod5-0Chavdar Etropole
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Sofia II2-1Pirin Razlog
- Oct 10, 2026Levski Sofia II0-2FK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 21, 2026Botev IhtimanvsOborishte
- Oct 21, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBansko