Where and when is Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava played?

Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

Kyustendil

Strumska Slava

The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?

Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,450).

Kyustendil win36 %

Draw28 %

Strumska Slava win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Strumska Slava
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Natsional Sofia(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Strumska Slava 3-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Sep 17, 2025	Kyustendil 3-0 Strumska Slava	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Kyustendil on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Strumska Slava	1.6	1.1	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Strumska Slava	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?: The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava played?: Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.