Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II played?

Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia Elbląg

Jagiellonia II

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II?

Jagiellonia II starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,637).

Olimpia Elbląg win22 %

Draw22 %

Jagiellonia II win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jagiellonia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II 3-1 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 23, 2025	Olimpia Elbląg 2-0 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II played?: Olimpia Elbląg vs Jagiellonia II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.