Wigry Suwałki vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Weszlo?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,834) and Weszlo (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Wigry Suwałki | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Wigry Suwałki.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Weszlo played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Weszlo is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 24, 2026SwitvsTroszyn
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew IIvsŁomża
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki