Widzew II vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Łomża. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,799) and Łomża (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Widzew II 2-6 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Łomża 6-4 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Łomża.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Łomża played?
- Widzew II vs Łomża is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWeszlo
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 24, 2026SwitvsTroszyn
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki