Swit vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab AI model makes Troszyn the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troszyn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Swit (1,667) and Troszyn (1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swit vs Troszyn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swit
Not enough data to predict the Swit lineup.
Troszyn
Not enough data to predict the Troszyn lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-7 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Swit win, 0 draws, 1 Troszyn win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Troszyn 5-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Swit 2-1 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (20 points from 12 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Swit vs Troszyn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Troszyn the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Troszyn played?
- Swit vs Troszyn is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWeszlo
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew IIvsŁomża
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki