Where and when is Swit vs Troszyn played?

Swit vs Troszyn is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Swit vs Troszyn: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

Swit

Troszyn

The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swit vs Troszyn?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Swit (1,688) and Troszyn (1,748).

Swit win35 %

Draw24 %

Troszyn win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew II(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1

Troszyn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Sieradz(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Swit win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Troszyn 5-0 Swit	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2025	Swit 2-1 Troszyn	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Swit on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Swit	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Troszyn	1.3	1.8	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Swit	5	2	2	1	7	3	8
17	Troszyn	5	0	1	4	4	15	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swit vs Troszyn?: The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Swit.
Where and when is Swit vs Troszyn played?: Swit vs Troszyn is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.