Match

Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911: prediction and stats

Liga 3Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Carlos Osório, Oliveira de Azeméis

OliveirenseLusitano Évora 1911

The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Oliveirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lusitano Évora 1911 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Oliveirense (1,854) and Lusitano Évora 1911 (1,926).

31%30%39%
Oliveirense winDrawLusitano Évora 1911 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oliveirense

4-3-3
  1. 10Joao Tavares
  2. 22R. Rei
  3. 95Théo Fonseca
  1. 8Vasco Braga
  2. 6J. Daniel
  3. 78D. Sancho
  1. 14Simão Martins
  2. 55Luís Bastos
  3. 24Gonçalo Loureiro
  4. 13Vasco de Cunha Santos
  1. 33Unai Pérez

Lusitano Évora 1911

4-3-3
  1. 23Diogo Sequeira
  2. 11S. A. Andrade Male
  3. 10Martim Águas
  1. 8Tiago Baptista
  2. 13Burá
  3. 5I. Diagne
  1. 4Cassiano
  2. 77S. Rocha
  3. 21Marcos Soares
  4. 2Marco Baixinho
  1. 22D. Martins

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveirense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lusitano Évora 1911 have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oliveirense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Caldas(away)1-0Liga 3
Oct 31, 2026CF Os Belenenses(home)1-2Liga 3
Oct 24, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911(away)2-2Liga 3
Oct 10, 2026SC Covilha(away)0-0Liga 3
Sep 19, 2026Penafiel(home)1-2Taça de Portugal
Lusitano Évora 1911
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026CF Os Belenenses(away)0-0Liga 3
Nov 1, 2026Vitória de Sernache(home)0-1Liga 3
Oct 24, 2026Oliveirense(home)2-2Liga 3
Oct 9, 2026União Santarém(away)0-3Liga 3
Sep 12, 2026SC Covilha(home)2-2Liga 3

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Oliveirense wins, 1 draw, 0 Lusitano Évora 1911 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 2-2 OliveirenseLiga 3

Last archived meeting: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oliveirense score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitano Évora 1911 score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oliveirense1.31.4510/1510/15
Lusitano Évora 19110.71.136/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oliveirense sit 6th in Liga 3 (10 points from 8 matches) and Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Oliveirense8242101110
10Lusitano Évora 191191446117

A question about Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Oliveirense.
Where and when is Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911 played?
Oliveirense vs Lusitano Évora 1911 is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Carlos Osório, in the Liga 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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