Atlético CP vs Louletano: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Louletano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Louletano?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Atlético CP (1,931) and Louletano (1,937).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Louletano have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 4-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| May 31, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Louletano score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Louletano | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (7 points from 3 matches) and Louletano sit 5th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs Louletano?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Louletano.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs Louletano played?
- Atlético CP vs Louletano is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.