Guimaraes B vs Varzim: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Gémeos Castro, Guimarães
The Footlab AI model makes Varzim the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varzim wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Varzim?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Guimaraes B (1,967) and Varzim (1,963).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guimaraes B vs Varzim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 87G. Paula
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 67Rodrigo Neto
- 80R. Rocha
- 50Zeega
- 36A. Meireles
- 93Rika
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Varzim
4-3-3- 9Rodrigo Pereira
- 7Pedro Matos
- 11D. Benchi
- 27Martim Boloto
- 55D. Rebelo
- 10M. Moreno Tavares Cunha
- 26Rúben Fernandes
- 19A. Morais Guedes
- 3P. Nuno
- 4Kauã Oliveira
- 49P. Costa
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes B have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Varzim have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guimaraes B wins, 2 draws, 2 Varzim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Varzim 2-2 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guimaraes B 3-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B 1-2 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Varzim 1-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Guimaraes B 2-1 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Varzim 2-0 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Varzim vs Guimaraes B on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes B score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes B | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Varzim | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes B sit 10th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Varzim sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes B vs Varzim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes B vs Varzim?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varzim the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Guimaraes B vs Varzim played?
- Guimaraes B vs Varzim is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Gémeos Castro, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.