Where and when is Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?

Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

Osaka

Renofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717).

Osaka win41 %

Draw28 %

Renofa Yamaguchi win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Osaka	1.6	1.5	1	12/15	9/15
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi?: The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
Where and when is Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?: Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.