Match

Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaRenofa Yamaguchi

The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osaka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Osaka (1,772) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,818).

38%28%34%
Osaka winDrawRenofa Yamaguchi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Osaka

4-4-2
  1. 95K. Isa
  2. 28T. Toya
  1. 14S. Sumida
  2. 11G. Yoshida
  3. 10R. Kubo
  4. 17S. Morimura
  1. 2K. Sakamoto
  2. 25Riku Kuwako
  3. 6S. Tachino
  4. 5Y. Minakuchi
  1. 1H. Sugawara

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 19S. Yamamoto
  2. 13Sota Watanabe
  3. 70R. Gunji
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 40H. Naruoka
  3. 17K. Tanabe
  1. 33S. Kikuchi
  2. 5K. Yoshioka
  3. 2R. Ozawa
  4. 15T. Itakura
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Nara Club(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-1J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)1-2J-League Cup
Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 3, 2026FC Gifu(away)2-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Sagamihara(home)2-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Osaka wins, 1 draw, 0 Renofa Yamaguchi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.91.159/1510/15
Renofa Yamaguchi1.31.076/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (17 points from 11 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Renofa Yamaguchi1172216723
7Osaka11452191217

A question about Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
Where and when is Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
Osaka vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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