Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro Nagano

Matsumoto Yamaga

The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Matsumoto Yamaga starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,597).

Parceiro Nagano win22 %

Draw27 %

Matsumoto Yamaga win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 16, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kochi United(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 25, 2026	Ventforet Kofu(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Nara Club(home)	0-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 Parceiro Nagano	J2/J3 League
Mar 14, 2026	Parceiro Nagano 0-5 Matsumoto Yamaga	J2/J3 League
Jul 19, 2025	Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
May 14, 2025	Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Oct 5, 2024	Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
Jun 29, 2024	Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Matsumoto Yamaga	1.5	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
16	Matsumoto Yamaga	3	0	2	1	4	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?: The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?: Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.