Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock played?

Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J-League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro Nagano

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock?

Mito Hollyhock starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,595).

Parceiro Nagano win17 %

Draw22 %

Mito Hollyhock win61 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	0-1	J1 League

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.1	1.8	1	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock played?: Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.