Paredes vs Vianense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes
The Footlab model makes Paredes the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paredes vs Vianense?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Paredes (1,969) and Vianense (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paredes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vianense have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | AVS(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paredes win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Vianense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Vianense 1-5 Paredes | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Paredes 2-0 Vianense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Paredes score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paredes | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paredes sit 2nd in Liga 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Vianense sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paredes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Vianense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paredes vs Vianense?
- The Footlab model makes Paredes the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Paredes vs Vianense played?
- Paredes vs Vianense is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.