Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B: prediction and stats
Liga 3Matchday 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira
The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pacos Ferreira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B?
On Elo ratings, Pacos Ferreira has 1,874 points and Guimaraes B 1,988.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pacos Ferreira
4-3-3- 96Miguel Falé
- 99Platiny
- 7João Pedro
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 19Tomás Castro
- 6Tomás Podstawski
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 22Junio Wesley
- 15Leandro Dias
- 85D. Castro
- 1Rafa
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 90Rodrigo Macedo
- 32M. Tepe
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 50Zeega
- 56S. Verdi
- 80R. Rocha
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 93Rika
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacos Ferreira have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Guimaraes B have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 4-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 4-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Pacos Ferreira wins, 0 draws, 0 Guimaraes B wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B 0-1 Pacos Ferreira | Liga 3 |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira 4-1 Guimaraes B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Guimaraes B 0-1 Pacos Ferreira | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Guimaraes B vs Pacos Ferreira on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pacos Ferreira score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes B score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Guimaraes B | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pacos Ferreira sit 8th in Liga 3 (11 points from 9 matches) and Guimaraes B sit 5th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B played?
- Pacos Ferreira vs Guimaraes B is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.