Varzim vs São João Ver: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
The Footlab AI model makes Varzim the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for São João Ver. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varzim wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varzim vs São João Ver?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Varzim (1,942) and São João Ver (1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Varzim vs São João Ver
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Varzim
4-3-3- 95Valentim Sousa
- 25J. Couto
- 17L. Filipe
- 27Martim Boloto
- 55D. Rebelo
- 10M. Moreno Tavares Cunha
- 26Rúben Fernandes
- 19A. Morais Guedes
- 4Kauã Oliveira
- 3P. Nuno
- 49P. Costa
São João Ver
4-3-3- 17L. Soares
- 11Gui Azevedo
- 7J. Machado
- 29Rodrigo Valente
- 33Washington Santana
- 90L. Capanni
- 55M. Vilela
- 4Bruno Morais
- 61R. Vilela
- 21Rui Bruno
- 30S. M. Junior J.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; São João Ver have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leça(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Varzim wins, 2 draws, 2 São João Ver wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | São João Ver 2-1 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | São João Ver 1-1 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Varzim 4-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | São João Ver 4-1 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Varzim 2-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Varzim 1-1 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: São João Ver vs Varzim on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; São João Ver score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| São João Ver | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varzim sit 6th in Liga 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and São João Ver sit 9th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Varzim vs São João Ver?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varzim vs São João Ver?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varzim the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for São João Ver.
- Where and when is Varzim vs São João Ver played?
- Varzim vs São João Ver is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Varzim Sport Club, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.