Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Algarve, Almancil
The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Vitória de Sernache. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache?
On Elo ratings, Louletano has 1,951 points and Vitória de Sernache 1,894.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Louletano
4-3-3- 27N. Martelo
- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 3Tiago Correia
- 8Sander Ramires
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 14Luca van der Gaag
- 18D. Martins
- 71Marcão
Vitória de Sernache
4-3-3- 13Lucas Daniel
- 7A. Dias
- 20G. Barge
- 19E. Moura
- 10André Dias
- 6R. Embalo
- 17T. Marques
- 4Matheus Matias
- 22Filipe Garcia
- 3Diego Tavares
- 1Joao Lucas
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Louletano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vitória de Sernache have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brito(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Louletano wins, 1 draw, 2 Vitória de Sernache wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache 1-0 Louletano | Liga 3 |
| May 31, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache 1-1 Louletano | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Louletano 1-2 Vitória de Sernache | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
Last archived meeting: Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Louletano score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória de Sernache score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louletano | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Louletano sit 7th in Liga 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Vitória de Sernache sit 10th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache?
- The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Vitória de Sernache.
- Where and when is Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache played?
- Louletano vs Vitória de Sernache is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Algarve, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.