Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos
The Footlab model makes Patronato the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Club Atlético Güemes. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Patronato (1,713) and Club Atlético Güemes (1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Patronato have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Club Atlético Güemes have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Patronato win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Club Atlético Güemes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-0 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Patronato 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-1 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Patronato 0-0 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-0 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Club Atlético Güemes vs Patronato on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Patronato score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Atlético Güemes score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Patronato sit 17th in Primera Nacional (25 points from 25 matches) and Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th (22 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Patronato | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 25 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes?
- The Footlab model makes Patronato the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Club Atlético Güemes.
- Where and when is Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes played?
- Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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