Peacehaven & Telscombe vs Merstham: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centenary Park, Peacehaven, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Peacehaven & Telscombe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Merstham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peacehaven & Telscombe vs Merstham?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Peacehaven & Telscombe (1,634) and Merstham (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peacehaven & Telscombe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Merstham have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2025 | Harefield United(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Harefield United(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Shoreham(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Steyning Town(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Chipstead(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Crowborough Athletic(away) | 2-5 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | East Grinstead Town(home) | 7-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Erith Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sittingbourne(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Deal Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Peacehaven & Telscombe score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Merstham score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peacehaven & Telscombe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Merstham | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peacehaven & Telscombe vs Merstham?
- The Footlab model makes Peacehaven & Telscombe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Merstham.
- Where and when is Peacehaven & Telscombe vs Merstham played?
- Peacehaven & Telscombe vs Merstham is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centenary Park, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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