GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Korona Kielce (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 25, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| May 5, 2025 | Korona Kielce 2-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 4, 2024 | GKS Katowice 1-2 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Korona Kielce 0-1 GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2022 | Korona Kielce 1-2 GKS Katowice | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce played?
- GKS Katowice vs Korona Kielce is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Wisla PlockvsJagiellonia
- Apr 17, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsMotor Lublin
- Apr 17, 2027Lech PoznanvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 17, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 17, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsWisla Krakow
- Apr 17, 2027Radomiak RadomvsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 17, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsSlask Wroclaw